Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #84
Brown County Semi-State Rank #18
Crawford County Regional Rank #5
Crawford County Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 57.1%
Advance to Regional 98.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating St. Xavier Run Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 739 809 736 714 794 750 840 685 698
Team Adjusted Rating 775 736 714 720 750 818 685 698
State RankRunnerSeason Rating St. Xavier Run Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
468  Sam Owings 12 17:34 18:29 17:23 17:36 17:37 17:47 17:16 17:24
535  Billy Pierce 12 17:40 17:54 18:01 17:05 17:25 17:30 17:54 17:44 17:46
713  Luke Heinemann 9 17:55 17:40 17:53 18:07 17:35 17:47 18:22 18:04 17:49
762  David Heinemann 9 18:00 17:35 17:30 18:00 18:50 18:27 18:43 17:36 17:57
876  Matt Dunlap 12 18:09 19:04 18:25 18:30 19:06 17:58 17:52
957  Peter Lonnemann 12 18:15 18:34 18:38 18:11 18:02 18:04 18:25 18:09 18:10
1,271  Wesley Jenkins 9 18:36 18:39 18:29 18:25 18:28 18:48 18:40
1,322  Nate Hussung 11 18:40 18:42 18:40 18:31 18:56 18:38 18:06 18:49
1,493  Mason Stocke 10 18:55 19:01 18:50 18:46 19:17 18:43 18:45
1,532  Ross Ellis 10 18:57 19:13 19:03 18:32 19:07 18:50
Jacob Langdon 11 19:14 19:10 19:25 18:56
Andrew McMaster 11 19:14 19:05 19:02 19:24
Dee Roney 10 19:25 18:47 19:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 57.1% 17.3 396 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.3 3.3 4.1 5.0 6.8 8.0 10.1 13.9
Regionals 98.5% 5.4 145 0.1 13.3 20.0 23.8 15.9 11.4 7.9 5.5 0.7
Sectionals 100% 3.1 92 0.1 29.7 42.4 16.1 10.3 1.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Owings 80.0% 91.8 53.4% 64.4%
Billy Pierce 69.0% 99.5 27.7% 41.2%
Luke Heinemann 57.6% 120.0 1.0% 5.8%
David Heinemann 57.3% 124.8 0.4% 3.1%
Matt Dunlap 57.1% 135.6 0.0% 0.5%
Peter Lonnemann 57.1% 142.2 0.0% 0.1%
Wesley Jenkins 57.1% 157.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Owings 100% 23.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.6 3.6 4.6 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.9 8.1 8.1 100.0% 100.0%
Billy Pierce 100% 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.9 4.7 5.6 6.8 7.8 100.0% 100.0%
Luke Heinemann 100.0% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 98.0% 99.9%
David Heinemann 99.9% 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 92.0% 99.8%
Matt Dunlap 99.5% 43.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.3% 98.4%
Peter Lonnemann 99.1% 48.6 0.0 40.7% 94.6%
Wesley Jenkins 98.5% 62.6 0.0% 48.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Owings 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.2 5.4 7.9 11.3 19.2 16.2 10.9 7.5 5.6 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Billy Pierce 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.5 3.8 6.5 11.1 16.7 15.1 12.1 8.8 6.9 4.7 3.4 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2
Luke Heinemann 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.9 4.9 7.7 8.8 9.3 9.4 10.3 9.3 7.7 6.8 5.7 4.7 3.4
David Heinemann 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.1 5.8 7.0 8.4 9.3 9.5 8.7 8.1 7.2 6.0 5.5
Matt Dunlap 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.6 4.2 5.1 6.5 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.6
Peter Lonnemann 27.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.0 3.2 4.3 5.4 6.1 6.7
Wesley Jenkins 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3